Every month I write about market share and inevitably the story tends to remain the same … Google big and growing. An interesting data point got me thinking recently. According to Compete data there are roughly 7.5 billion search queries performed every month by the US Online Population. However there are only about 5 billion search referrals every month. This means that roughly 1/3 of all searches in some sense go unanswered. People search for something and then don’t click on a search result. So the obvious question is which search engine is doing the best job from a “search fulfillment” standpoint? As a reminder here is where we stood from a market share perspective in August.

As I noted a few weeks ago, Google gets about 2/3rds of the web search volume. So from this perspective Google appears to dominate and have the most successful search engine. If volume is an indication of effectiveness, one might be ready to crown Google the best search engine. However, if we look at the numbers from a “search fulfillment” perspective by engine we get a very different story.

Yahoo! pretty much takes the cake on this one with about 75% of searches performed on Yahoo! in August resulted in a referral. By comparison, searches on Google result in a referral about 65% of the time and searches on MSN/Live result in a referral about 59% of the time. Lower search fulfillment numbers mean that on a percentage basis fewer search queries on that engine resulted in the searcher clicking on a result link. So from this perspective one might consider Yahoo! more effective at getting consumers the results they want.

In reality the devil is in the details and the story is much more complicated than that, but it’s always interesting to look at something from a new angle. Regardless of your opinion of which engine is more effective, it is important to consider actual referrals as well as top level searches. This is one of the reasons that we focused our Search Analytics tools on helping marketers understand actual search referral traffic as opposed to simple search query volumes.


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  1. Philip Elder

    Depending on the search being done, the results can indeed show different stories. Especially when it comes to the one third of searches not resulting in a referral.

    Here is but one: http://blog.mpecsinc.ca/2007/09/windows-live-search-versus-google.html

    In a simple search for some contact information, Google hit it so good, that one did not need to click on any links to get to more information. They even included a map.

    Yahoo.ca was the same in its results without a map. Their top two results gave us the info we were looking for.

    Windows Live Search missed by a long shot. In fact, the search was delineated by ” ” and they still missed.

    Thanks for the stats and the info on search results.

    Philip

  2. Matt Cutts

    Hey Jeremy! Interesting post, but I’m not sure I agree. For example, sometimes you can get the answer you want right from a search engine snippet, and don’t need to click on anything.

    Here’s a couple simple examples:
    - Do the query [ounces in a shot] on Google vs. Yahoo. Google gives you the answer directly: “1 shot = 1.5 US fluid ounces”. On Yahoo, you don’t get any OneBox answer, and the snippets are unclear. You’d need to click on a result or two to find the answer.

    - Suppose I wanted to know what your job title was and did the query [jeremy crane compete] on Google vs. Yahoo. On Google, I see the answer right in snippet for the #3 result: “Jeremy Crane Director, Search and Online Media”. On Yahoo, the snippets aren’t as helpful; you’re described as an analyst a couple times, but not until the #10 snippet do I see your job title. So a Yahoo user might be more likely to click on some results to find the answer on the page.

    There are lots more I could think of (e.g. people using Google for spellcheck), but those two examples were the first ones I thought of.

  3. Jeremy

    Absolutely, I couldn’t agree with you more Matt. This is why I mention at the end of the post “In reality the devil is in the details and the story is much more complicated than that, but it’s always interesting to look at something from a new angle.”

    Your example is a perfect example of other ways people use search engines. People using search engines to find the information they are looking for as opposed to using the engine as a navigation tool, definitely complicate this rather simple cut of the data I did here. I use Google all the time to find phone numbers and never actually click on a link.

    From an online marketing standpoint, however, getting people to your site is a critical measure of search engine effectiveness. In this world the most important thing to look at is actual conversion on the site (or equivalent engagement activities). We do this kind of analysis on a regular basis for our clients. A typical cut of the data is conversion by engine. In other words which engine provides a higher converting customer in a given industry or market space. Unfortunately looking at conversion on a market wide basis is very difficult.

    Thanks for reading …

  4. spandana

    search share aside, it’s no longer a secret that purely based on relevancy and search experience, there is marginal difference between the two search engines.

    i did find the snippets having better information in google than yahoo, but i doubt a significant users get their information without clicking on any of the results, definitely not enough to explain the large difference.

    i would venture that couple of factors could be at play : yahoo’s wow modules and relative ease of SEO’ing yahoo’s results by some advertisers. that would in turn get more ‘branded’ results higher up in the ranking, making them attractive click targets than, say, a wikipedia result or a research-ish result. for example, a search on yahoo for “elliptical machine” shows 3 brands- sharper image, precor, nordictrack, whereas google only shows nordictrack (in the top 10 listings).

    plus, for the same search wikipedia goes to #1 spot in google, where as yahoo rates nordicktrack at #2 spot (which is at #10 spot on google).

    and btw, those checkout buttons in google’s sponsored results are too aggressive and uggg-ly., and yes, i do work for yahoo.

  5. Search☸ Engines WEB

    ………………………………………………………………………………………………………

    Many SEOs search on Google to constantly keep current on their rankings - Google is more important than Yahoo and is search far more frequently by SEOs and Webmasters.

    If a searcher is not being fulfilled - they have enough brains to go to page 2 - they are not going to give up after page one if the search is important enough.

    Those SAME searchers would have to leave Google for Yahoo and then click - to support the theory that Yahoo is more relevant

    Also what percentage of searchers are putting the URLs in the search box and clicking on the first link?

    Also, casual searchers search Yahoo. They only search when they want something, and will click on the first listings that appear relevant.

    Additionally, Google may have more people using it for spell checking.

    In fact - if you calculate the results for AOL searchers, you might find it to be quite interesting

  6. Search Engine Optimization Journal

    Yahoo Vs. Google On Search Fulfillment

    (Source) Compete has just compiled a study that shows Yahoo’s superiority over Google when it comes to search results.
    I hate to the bearer of bad news (actually, I quite like it), but Compete’s study may not be so objective. The company adm…

  7. RS

    People still use Google? I just switched to using Wikipedia since they come up #1 for pretty much every search on Google anyway. ;)

  8. Tom Chi

    Convsersion shortcuts and other direct displays of information are nowhere near the search volume to explain a difference this large. The snippets are a better theory, since at least the coverage is 100%, but eye-tracking studies point to very little reading of snippets. While I don’t have a good explanation, it’s almost definitely *not* the user experience advantages that Matt cites. Of the theories above, SEO bot traffic seems the most plausible.

    The other thing to note is that Yahoo essentially has all the same shortcuts (and some better ones! - see music WOW), so this is another reason that this is an unlikely source for the difference.

  9. dk

    If we consider queries which were answered on the search page itself without a need to click on a link, like ounce-to-shot, spell check, jeremey’s job title etc; for google to be at least as good as yahoo, 10% of its queries should be — spell check/ounce-to-shot/president of nigeria/who is matt cutts — type of queries and google should be correctly answering all these 10% queries. Now with none of the top search terms on google last year (from http://www.google.com/intl/en/press/zeitgeist2006.html) falling under this category, it doesn’t seem like 10% of all searches are answered on the search result page itself.

    Then of course, yahoo too must be having such queries and answering some of those correctly (they cant do a bad job on spell check type queries). And the assumption that google answers all such queries correctly is also not true.

    So for google to be at least as good user fulfiller as yahoo, we are looking at 15% (at least) of all searches on google to be answerable without a click.

  10. Daniel Haas

    We added a case study and found Google delivering better results.

  11. MP

    With respect to MSN/Live Search clicks, I wonder what effect the club.live.com has on it. When you play game on Live Club, there are lots and lots of search queries generated automatically, but usually players are either not even looking at them (let alone clicking), or if they search for hint, the answer is obvious from the snippet. Since Live Club gave significant boost to MSN/Live search share, it will be interesting to see the numbers above with Live Club queries filtered out.

  12. Read&Lead

    I have two questions.
    1. Does ‘web search’ include ‘image search’?
    2. Does ‘referral’ means ‘outgoing traffics to other sites from search engine sites’?

    If ‘web search’ includes ‘image search’ and ‘referral’ means ‘outgoing traffics to other sites from search engine sites’, I can understand why Google is lower than Yahoo in terms of web search fulfillment index. Google has much higher percentage of image search than Yahoo. And if users click on any images from image search result pages, those clicks are counted not as referrals but as in-house traffic in terms of domain URLs. This can explains why Google is lower than Yahoo in terms of web search fulfillment index.

  13. Vingold

    I just read Matt Cutts’ comment (and then DK’s follow-up - great analysis on DK’s part). And the whole thing got me thinking.

    Google’s role is to provide useful information to their users - whether that results on a click where the information comes from isn’t a concern to Google.

    How is Google’s behavior different than that of scraper sites?

  14. Jeremy

    Search Engine Optimization Journal -> Wow, I hadn’t even thought about this when I pulled together this post. The reality is we really don’t have any preference here at Compete with regard to search engine. The search overlay is really a very mall piece of what we are doing here at Compete. In the coming months you will see this shifting to more of a “backseat” on our site. I apologize for not acknowledging the apparent conflict of interest. Had I even thought of it I would have included it in the post. Truth be told I don’t have anything to do with the search overlay project.

    MP -> The analysis above already has Club Live Searches removed from the Queries.

    Read&Lead -> The analysis does not include Video search results, but referral is as you have defined it. We look for people leaving the search engine results pages. To be a bit more clear this includes referrals from secondary results pages. For instance if someone clicks to the 3rd page of results after a query and then clicks on a link this would count as a referral.

  15. Read&Lead

    Google searchers have much more engagement than yahoo in terms of # sessions per visitor, # PVs per session and this phenomenon. And Google has much higher rate of vertical search than yahoo. (image,maps,news,video, etc) that means Google has much more traffic from search result pages to vertical search result pages that are not counted as search referral.

    So, I think ‘Google’s lower web search referral index than yahoo’ does not mean that yahoo is more effective at getting consumers the results they want.

  16. Zeezeeg

    This is indeed an interesting facts. It will only be supported though to top SE will publish their own results too.

    There are so many variables involved.

  17. SmoothSpan Blog

    Take the Pepsi Challenge for Search

    There’s a lot of chatter in the blogosphere about Yahoo’s new search features.  Seems Compete figured out that people click on Yahoo’s results more often than Google’s, and inferred that Yahoo therefore has a better search engi…

  18. NB

    Hi Matt,
    I was wondering if you ever tried “Daddy yankee” or “Sammy sosa” or “Mumbai” on both search engines. Yahoo presents very relevant information in Wow modules than Google. And, I am sure there are more number of people who would search for celebrities than “ounce in a shot” or “Jeremy Crane” (no disrespect Jeremy, you are a celebrity in a very small community of SEO etc but for people in general it is still Britney :P). So, your rationale doesn’t go hand in hand with what people in general use. May be you could throw some more light on numbers from feedburner or other analytic tools. Another argument that I have heard from most SEO’s (a purist point of view) that unlike Yahoo, google tries to keep search results natural and is not biased towards their own properties. But, why shouldn’t yahoo be biased towards flickr or other properties of its own? Most of these properties rank among top 3 in their respective categories (for years) when it comes to UV and user engagments. Users want information fast and easy so if Google can’t provide that may be someone else would. Its about time we swtich to yahoo.

  19. Jeremy

    NB - > No offense taken NB. I’ve never even remotely thought of myself as a celebrity. I think Matt Cutts, Danny Sullivan, and John Battelle are about the closest thing to celebrities we have in our world. At least you would think so based on the throngs of search geeks such as myself that descend upon them at ever conference.

  20. 31 Reasons

    Yahoo bests Google in web search fulfillment

  21. Jeff (Jozian)

    Thanks for a great article, Jeremy. And the beginnings of an interesting thread, before the pure propagandists blessed us with their dumps.

    I don’t believe that Yahoo has that big on a jump in fulfillment on Google, but the numbers are interesting and there may be something valid there.

    Maybe Google’s direct provision of an answer accounts for most of the difference. Maybe Yahoo’s consumer-focused PR leads certain types of searchers to be more satisfied.

    The critical point you raise is that ‘fulfillment’ as a concept is important. We need to better understand and measure it.

    We know that SE’s are providing better access to information. We know that they are providing more effective channels for commerce. But are they really providing answers most effectively to information seekers? And if they are, why are wiki and QnA sites growing so rapidly?

  22. Stephan

    That’s an interesting statistics indeed!
    I really wonder how high the web search fulfillment of a good metasearch engine would be, that basically combines at least these three major search engines?

  23. nmw

    heheh — maybe it might be interesting to ask whether the difference might be that Google users click on the ppc ads more often (are they included / excluded)? It’s interesting to note that there are currently no ppc ads for the search string “videos” on Google. Currently, Yahoo permits ppc ads to be shown for the keyword “videos” (”porn” too). Then again, Google has more ppc ads for “sex” than Yahoo (these ads are very amusing to read ;). It’s also interesting that so far the argument presented by Matt Cutts (Google) is that there is some informative value on the results page that does not require a “click through” (isn’t it ironic for Google to be using CTR as a quality measure for the ppc ads and then argue that CTR is not all that important? ;) Then again Google’s value judgements are becoming less and less transparent — and the results appear to be becoming less and less algorithmic; in sum, the site is functioning less and less clearly as a search ENGINE. In that vein, it is intriguing to note that people do appear to still FEEL that Google is a search engine….

  24. Sri

    Nice post Jeremy! Does the fulfillment include sponsored results too or do they come under the unaccounted 1.5 million queries?

  25. Jeremy

    nmw, Sri -> This data includes both paid/sponsored clickthrough and Organic result clickthrough.

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  27. Doug Nyren

    Very interesting data and happy to see that Google does not own every crown related to the search realm. Although I am curious if this data factors in paid search results? My guess is that Google AdWords is probably the most effective (in terms of click-throughs) paid search engine and therefore wonder if this is reflected in the data mentioned above….what percent of the 1/3 actually clicks on Paid Search results resulting in what appears to be a non-click-through search query?

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  29. Ridzwan - Acdra Web Design

    Very informative - not just the initial post, but also the comments that follow.

    I agree with Search☸ Engines WEB that many webmasters search Google just to monitor their own ranking. I do this myself quite often. And Matt has provided information that I did not know before this, despite using Google for years - that Google provides conversion tables through a search.

  30. SJones

    What if the fulfillment rates are skewed by Yahoo being second choice for search?

    If searchers first fail to find relevant results on Google, might they not search on Yahoo and be more inclined to accept whatever they find there?

    In the search fulfillment race, Yahoo’s position “drafting” behind Google’s lead might allow it to pull ahead when it comes to click-throughs.

  31. khyau

    Thanks for the info.

  32. Gab Goldenberg

    You’re inferring a causal relationship where it seems just like a correlation. Maybe Yahoo’s demographics make them more curious? Perhaps Google’s are more picky? Perhaps MSN’s results suck. Ok, that was off topic. Perhaps Bill Gates just wants to see if his properties rank well a lot.

  33. Digital Dog

    I don’t know why you get the numbers you do, but I can tell you that Yahoo is useless, except for Yahoo Site Explorer.

    I’ve tried several times to use both Yahoo and MSN as my main search engine — no matter what I’m looking for, I find the results are so bad that I switch back in minutes. There’s a reason why “Goggle” (sic) is one of the top queries on AOL.

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    Just to play the devil’s advocate: Just as market share is not definitive in determining the best search engine, neither is the percentage of searches fulfilled. Since Yahoo has put (IMO) a lot more emphasis overall into their marketing campaigns than Google, that leads me to believe that yahoo users were initially drawn in because it “sounded good”, which further implies a general lack of technical experience, and possibly a more carefree lifestyle. Of course, that’s not to say that Google does not also have these kind of users (67% market share make it “a given” to have some), but it definitely does leave room for thought. Yahoo, IMO, is made up almost completely of users that have little-to-no interest in research, and are more concerned with finding the bottom line, which usually is limited to high-grade and popular websites. Google, on the other hand, focuses on indiscriminately including as much relevant material as possible. The result is that Google has far more sites indexed, at the expense of those that do not know exactly what they are looking for, and/or lack skill in searching for it.

    therefore I would like you to consider three things:

    1. Since Google indexes a ridiculously higher amount more sites than yahoo, that should be factored in when determining the percentage of fulfilled searches.

    2. It’s very likely that many, if not most of Google’s users are not tech-savvy, and/or lack competence in finding what they’re searching for.

    3. *(most importantly) since (IMO) google users tend to put more emphasis on research and data collection, they are likely much more prone to search for things that are very hard to find, and may not even exist on the web.

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Oct 21: The Economy Helps Boost the Prepaid Market
Oct 20: Browsers for Food
Oct 19: September search term biggest movers are here!
Oct 16: Can Microsoft’s Zune HD challenge the iPod?
Oct 15: The Dove Soap Bubble
Oct 14: Sept Data is Live: 2009 is BIG for Back to School
Oct 12: Sweetness! Compete PRO just got that much better!
Oct 9: Toyota Spending Big to Get Off the Sidelines